May Market Recap: No Spring Surge, Just a Steady Climb

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Hello Real Estate District,
(Click here if you want to watch the video instead of reading)

Alright team—it’s May, and things are moving.

Alberta Showings: Consistent… Just Not Crazy

  • Alberta showings through mid-May have been stable, but we’re still 17% below last year’s pace.
  • Translation: Buyers are out there—they’re just not in a frenzy. Yet.

📍 Calgary Showings: Climbing Back from the Slow Start

  • Calgary showings have risen 7% over the past two weeks, making up ground from the sleepy start to May.
  • That’s a good signal—especially for what’s coming next.
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📉 Calgary Sales: A Dip… Then a Rebound?

  • Sales dropped over 5% week over week, which directly tracks with the slower showing activity in early May.
  • But based on the recent rebound in showings, this looks like a temporary blip—not a trend.
📈 Week-over-week sales increases were strongest in the $300K–$400K and $700K–$800K price points—where supply is finally catching up with demand.👉 Overall? May’s shaping up to be totally average for sales.

🏘️ Inventory: Almost Normal, Finally Balanced

  • Total listing inventory is now 96% of normal for this time of year—our closest brush with "normal" in months.
  • Inventory between $500K–$1M is rising steadily, especially in the $700K+ range.
This means move-up buyers have options, and those higher-end sellers need sharp marketing to stand out.

📬 New Listings: The Late Spring Push is Real

  • We’re on track to exceed normal new listing volume for May,
  • Driven by a delayed spring market (thank you, election uncertainty),
  • Sellers are finally saying, “okay, it’s time.”
This is giving buyers breathing room—and also creating more competition for sellers who were hoping for multiple offers.

📈 Migration = Momentum

  • Net migration to Alberta continues to hit record levels, especially from:
    • Non-permanent residents, who are heating up the rental market, and
    • Interprovincial movers, fueling demand in higher price points
👀 More people = more pressure on inventory = more potential in the months to come.

📊 Months of Supply & Market Balance

  • Months of supply is edging up, getting close to buyer market territory.
  • But don’t be fooled—the market is still competitive:
    • List-to-sale price ratio is 98.4%, which is above average
    • Days on market is down 35% from normal, sitting at just 40 days
👉 This is still a demand-driven market, just without the chaos.

🎯 Opportunities in the Market Right Now

1️⃣ First-Time Buyer Sellers ($300K–$400K) – Inventory is moving, and demand is still sticky. If they’re thinking of listing—the time is now.2️⃣ Move-Up Buyers in the $700K–$900K Range – Inventory is finally healthy here. Get them looking before rates (or prices) shift.3️⃣ Sellers Must Dial In Strategy – With more competition, price, prep, and marketing matter more than ever.4️⃣ Rental Investors: Watch the Trend – With non-permanent residents surging, the rental demand is about to spike. Think: suites, condos, duplexes.

🚀 Final Takeaway: Slow Burn, Not a Blowout

👉 Sales dipped, but showings are rising
👉 Inventory is almost back to normal
👉 Demand is still driving the market—just more calmly
👉 And migration could keep the fire burning longer than expectedSo this Spring might not be a sprint—but it’s a solid, steady marathon.
And we’re pacing for a strong finish. And remember: It’s not about how fast the market’s moving—it’s about how well you move with it. Let’s keep leading. 😎🔥 Happy Selling🔥 
Steve Phillips